“How many people support Trump but don’t want to admit it?” Thomas Edsall of The New York Times asked that question a few days ago, and it is even more disturbing to Hillary Clinton after the latest polls, which position Donald Trump in a draw or possibly even a lead over his Democratic rival.
Even though that’s true, the poll numbers at this stage should not be taken too seriously. But it is also true that the published data may be lower than reality, and by quite a large margin. Most polls, in fact, are conducted by phone, and it seems many respondents, especially the more educated and affluent demographic sectors, may be ashamed to declare their support for the New York magnate.
That theory is bolstered by the fact that Trump has gotten much better results in the same locations via online surveys, where there is no person-to-person contact and the vote resembles a secret poll. This disparity has been observed for some time. In Trump’s case, it seems that the phenomenon is conspicuous.